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Today’s market offers investors an ideal time to be in diamonds.
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Russia, for whom diamonds are a significant export, has fomented a trade war with the European Union and the G7 countries over its invasion of Ukraine.
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The EU banned direct imports of Russia diamonds as of Jan.1, 2024 and banned Russian-origin diamonds via third-party countries as of Mar. 1, 2024.
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The ban promises to raise the price of diamonds sourced from places other than Russia and to make companies with advanced-stage diamond projects valuable assets indeed.
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One such company is Star Diamond Corp. (DIAM.TO; SHGDF.OTC), which recently took back the 75% of its Fort a la Corne diamond district that it didn’t already own.
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Fort a la Corne is in Saskatchewan and hosts the world-class Star-Orion South diamond deposit.
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With the EU sanctions set to drive up diamond prices, especially from safe jurisdictions like Canada, Star Diamond plans to update the resource estimate for Star-Orion South and generate a prefeasibility study on the project over the next few months.
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The company is currently trading at a fraction of Star-Orion South’s estimated valuation, making now a great time to begin looking at this well-positioned diamond play.
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A Perfect Storm
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The timing could hardly be better for Star Diamond, as a perfect storm is brewing in the diamond market.
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The United States had already placed sanctions on the Russian company Alrosa in 2022. According to Reuters, Alrosa is “the world’s largest producer of rough diamonds by volume with 30% of the market.”
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Now that the EU has also implemented a ban on Russian diamonds, including those coming through third-party countries, the next step is to develop a sourcing method that can determine a diamond’s origin.
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By Sept. 1, purveyors of diamonds in the EU and in G7 countries will need to see where their diamonds are coming from.
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While the implementation of that system is still to-be-determined, it’s clear that a huge segment of the global diamond market will soon require diamonds to come from places other than Russia.
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A $2 Billion Deposit
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With the market very much in its favor, Star Diamond now fully controls the Fort a la Corne district in which the Star-Orion South lies.
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The 75% interest owned by diversified commodities major Rio Tinto became available when the company elected to get out of the diamond business.
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In return for giving back its interest in Fort a la Corne, Rio Tinto is taking a 19.9% equity interest in Star Diamond.
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For its part, Star Diamond received full control over a project that a 2018 preliminary economic assessment estimates is worth $2 billion with a 19% base-case IRR.
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The deal with Rio Tinto means that Star will benefit directly from the $300 million Rio Tinto spent during its time on the project. It will also take control of a bulk sample plant, a trench cutter drill and all the project data Rio Tinto had amassed during its time operating the project.
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Simply put, the transaction puts the world’s largest undeveloped diamond deposit completely back under the Star Diamond umbrella.
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A Diamond Market Rarity
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Diamond projects have to go through a long exploration process to determine their viability.
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The Star-Orion South deposit stands out as a vetted diamond project with 30 years of exploration and more than $1 billion in expenditures to its credit.
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Without ever drilling another hole in the project again, Star Diamond is in a position where, once all approvals are in place, it will just have to scoop the earth off the deposit and start mining the orebody.
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That advanced-stage status makes the project a rarity in the diamond exploration sector.
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Within the next three to five years, Star Diamond could be producing from Star-Orion South, a deposit estimated to produce 66 million carats over a 38-year mine life.
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The project’s location near power and road infrastructure and a ready-and-willing labor force makes it a must-own for those looking to leverage the sanction-squeezed diamond market.
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Taking Full Control At The Right Time
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As mentioned, the timing here for Star Diamond could hardly be better.
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The company is in the process of putting together a revised resource estimate on Star-Orion South that will feed into an upcoming prefeasibility study.
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Within the next two years, Star Diamond will have the deposit at the feasibility stage.
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At that point, the company will be the owner of a shovel-ready diamond project that hosts the world’s largest undeveloped diamond deposit.
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In the market developing for diamonds, that makes Star Diamond a company to begin doing your due diligence on in the near future.
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