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September 21, 2026

The Fed hiked rates. Now what?

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Now What?

Last week the Fed hiked rates, as expected. The market reaction surprised some — but not those who’ve seen this movie before.


September 21, 2026

Dear Fellow Investor,

Well, they did it.

Kevin Warsh and his FOMC hiked rates a quarter-point last week, and perhaps the only part of the move that raised some eyebrows was the 12-0 vote tally.
 

So it seems that the Fed is united behind their commitment to fight inflation, and this rate hike served to win some credibility.

But it won’t win the war, and thus it won’t affect the most immediate drivers of inflation.

Gold dropped in the immediate aftermath of the announcement, but it soared the very next day. That was a surprise to some, but not to those who have been through this before.
 

For example, in December 2015, the market expected the Fed to deliver its first rate hike since the Great Financial Crisis at its upcoming meeting.

Golden Opportunities continues below...

 

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And Washington is already paying attention.

 

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In Gold Newsletter back then, I made a pretty bold call that this first rate hike would mark the bottom for the gold price, as the expected event that was the basis for so many gold short trades would become a fait accompli, and the traders would move on.
 

At that point in time, Western traders were making the gold price, and few were taking it.

As I’d predicted, gold soared after that initial Fed hike, and many of our junior mining recommendations jumped 4x-5x over the next six months.

Today we find a similar, but not identical, situation. Western traders have also leaned on gold in recent weeks in anticipation of a Fed rate hike, but with a lesser effect than in the previous example. That’s because while the West is again making the gold price, others are now gleefully taking it.
 

So the short gold trade is over after the Fed’s move last week...and the powerful underlying demand for the metal is taking control once again.
 

So buckle up…but also be prepared for more volatility.

The West Is In

We were spoiled by central bank buying for the first 18 months or so of this bull market. They’re relentless demand kept the gold price rising with hardly a break.

 

Then, about a year ago, the Western traders finally decided to come in, in force.

 

The resulting volatility shouldn’t have come as much of a surprise.

 

At last year’s New Orleans Investment Conference, Jim Iuorio warned our audience that the ride was about to get much rougher:

“There’s going to be huge volatility in this trade.”

In fact, Jim said gold could suffer a much deeper decline and still remain within the context of a bull market. And he made an important point that investors tend to forget when the screens turn red:

“The fundamental case could be getting stronger and stronger and gathering steam, but that doesn’t mean the market continues to move up.”

Markets, he reminded us, are also driven by positioning, sentiment and the simple tendency of investors to crowd into — and then rush out of — a trade.
 

Rich Checkan made essentially the same point after gold suffered a 10% correction shortly before last year’s Conference.
 

He came into the office the next morning and asked his staff:

“What fundamentally changed?”
 

The answer?
 

“Absolutely nothing.”

Rich went through the usual signals that historically accompany the end of major gold bull markets — including much higher interest rates, a much stronger dollar and deteriorating underlying conditions — and concluded:

“None of these indicators are suggesting that this is the end of the bull market.”

I made a similar point in my own presentation.
 

After one of gold’s sharpest corrections of the cycle, I told attendees that the arrival of more Western speculative money meant we should expect more volatility going forward:

“It’s not going to be as easy as it was over the last 18 months.”

And, importantly:

“The factors behind this bull market remain firmly in place.”

That’s the question investors have to wrestle with after last week’s Fed decision.

 

Does this rate hike alter the forces that created this metals bull market in the first place?

 

That’s the debate we’ll be having in New Orleans.

 

And in just 37 days, we’ll bring many of the smartest minds in metals, markets and macroeconomics back together to figure out what comes next.

 

I’ll close with this now-familiar warning:

Registrations for New Orleans ’26 are flowing in at a rate we haven’t seen in decades. Our exhibit hall is already sold out, and our room block in our convenient host hotel is also set to sell out soon.

So again, I urge you to click on the link below to learn more, and to lock in your spot in New Orleans this year. You’ll not only guarantee you’ll be able to attend, but you’ll save hundreds of dollars in registration fees if you can act now.

All the best,

Brien Lundin Signature

Brien Lundin
Publisher, Gold Newsletter
CEO, the New Orleans Investment Conference

 

CLICK HERE
To Learn More
And Reserve Your Place At
New Orleans ’26

 

 

CLICK HERE to watch interviews by Brien Lundin and Kai Hoffmann with many of today's most exciting junior mining companies on the

Gold Newsletter Youtube channel.

 
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© Golden Opportunities, 2009 - 2026

Advertisements included in this issue do not constitute endorsements from us of any stock or investment recommendation made by our advertisers.

Warnings and Disclaimers: As you know, every investment entails risk. Golden Opportunities hasn’t researched and cannot assess the suitability of any investments mentioned or advertised by our advertisers. We recommend you conduct your own due diligence and consult with your financial adviser before entering into any type of financial investment. This profile should be viewed as a paid advertisement. The publisher and staff of this publication may hold positions in the securities of companies discussed or recommended. The information contained herein has been received from sources which the publisher deems reliable. However, the publisher cannot guarantee that such information is complete and true in all respects. The advertiser provided a review of the factual content of this advertisement at the time of publication. The publisher is not a registered investment adviser and does not purport to offer personalized investment related advice; the publisher does not determine the suitability of advice and recommendations contained herein for any reader. Each person must separately determine whether such advice and recommendations are suitable and whether they fit within such person’s goals and portfolio. The advertiser featured in this edition of Golden Opportunities has paid the publisher for the costs and compensation related to the authorship, overhead, design and distributing this online edition, in the amount of $1,500. The publisher may receive revenue, the amount of which cannot be predetermined, from sales resulting from any accompanying offer. Authors of articles contained herein may have been compensated for their services in preparing such articles. 

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GNL Admin2026-09-21T16:27:52+00:00September 21st, 2026|

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