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November 6, 2024

Metals mauled by the election...

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The Metals Get Mauled

A clear-cut win by Trump negates the risk of political turmoil and sends gold and silver plunging.
 

But this bull market was never built on geopolitical risk — it’s a decades-long trend of ever-easier money and ever-greater debt that has sent gold to record heights.
 

The markets will soon realize that the current situation is irreversible and unsolvable by any administration...and the metals bull market will resume in force.

November 6, 2024

Dear Fellow Investor,

Over the past six months, in interviews and conversations with friends and media in Canada and elsewhere in the world, I was consistently asked how the U.S. presidential election would affect gold.

My answer was always the same: Not a whit.
 

I would explain that, because the debt situation in the U.S. had gotten so completely out of hand...and because neither party was inclined or even able to solve it at this point...far higher gold prices would result no matter who was elected.

Obviously, I should have cautioned that a clear-cut win by Trump would evaporate any perceived geopolitical risk being factored into the gold price by some speculators, and therefore result in a short-term sell-off.

That’s exactly what’s happened. As I write, gold is off $77 (2.8%), and silver is leveraging the move to the downside with a drop of $1.48 (4.5%).

Kitco gold price chart

A move of this magnitude is obviously being driven by traders shorting the metals with wild abandon. I sincerely doubt that much of the big money that’s moved into gold over the past year was motivated by concerns over this election.
 

Thus, this short-term trade seems destined to reverse soon.
 

And, if you’ve read anything I’ve been writing for the last few years, you will not be surprised to learn that I view this as a long-term opportunity.

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The Window Temporarily Reopens

It’s a mixed bag in the post-election markets today. With the Dow jumping over 3% and the Dollar Index soaring, investors are obviously considering that lower taxes and looser regulation will unleash the U.S. economy.
 

But with Treasury yields also rising strongly, they also seem to recognize that higher tariffs will be inflationary.
 

And finally, the big sell-off in gold and silver is just crazy — rooted in the belief that the rise in the metals over the past year was due to worries over political mayhem following the election, and not the intractable debt trap that would have embroiled any presidential administration.
 

As a reminder, consider again this chart:

The red line above shows the federal debt, which began to accelerate higher with the post-2008 Great Financial Crisis rescue efforts and truly exploded higher with the fiscal and monetary response to Covid...and then the desperate federal spending as the Biden administration attempted to ensure their re-election.
 

This fiscal stimulus ran in direct opposition to monetary policy, as the Fed attempted to kill off inflation with severe rate hikes. You can see the effect of rising rates meeting head-on with soaring debt loads in the blue line above showing federal interest expense.

This is a classic debt trap...a “doom loop” as many have called it...in which the Fed must lower rates to keep the house of cards erect, while the markets force rates and gold higher in recognition of the inflationary consequences.

Neither party addressed this situation at all during the campaign, and neither is motivated in the least to do anything about it. Far to the contrary, in fact, as control of the White House and both houses of Congress have never promoted spending restraint.
 

This is a truth that the markets will realize shortly, I believe, which makes this an extraordinary investment opportunity.
 

The key to profiting from a secular bull market like this one in the metals is to buy the dips. And this is one heck of a dip.

Two Ways To Take Advantage Of This Opening

Conveniently, there are two events in the near future that can help us understand the repercussions of these election results...guide us to the best strategies for profits and protection...and reveal specific investments poised to generate significant gains in the days ahead:

1) The Election Townhall Livestream
By the Collective Inner Circle

Tomorrow, at 8:00 p.m. EST/7:00 p.m. CST/5:00 p.m. PST, five great friends of mine — George Gammon, Russell Gray, Jason Hartman, Robert Helms and Ken McElroy — will host an amazing townhall with a litany of other top experts as guests.
 

They’re going to do a deep dive into the election results and the implications for the economy, geopolitics and every investment sector. I can guarantee you that this is going to be an absolute blast...and will deliver tremendously valuable insights.
 

Remarkably, this event is absolutely free of charge. All you have to do is CLICK HERE to register, and I strongly recommend that you do so now.
 

You’re going to truly enjoy this townhall event, especially because it’s a bit of a preview for the other big opportunity coming up...

2) The Investment Event Of The Half Century

In just a couple of weeks, we’ll convene for the 50th anniversary of the New Orleans Investment Conference, renowned as the “world’s greatest investment event.”

 

And this year’s gathering will be historic for other reasons, coming as it is during a time of great uncertainty, with exceptional risks accompanied by equally exceptional opportunities.
 

This event is also historic for the amazing roster of experts who will deliver their best ideas to attendees, including...

James Grant...George Gammon...Rick Rule...Danielle DiMartino Booth...Brent Johnson...Jim Iuorio...Peter Boockvar...Jim Bianco...James Lavish...Adrian Day...Dave Collum...Alex Green...Bob Prechter...Tracy Shuchart...Avi Gilburt...Adam Taggart...Lawrence Lepard...Mark Skousen...Doug Casey...Tavi Costa...Peter Schiff…Lyn Alden…
 

...Chris Powell...Russ Gray...Robert Helms...Nick Hodge...Sean Brodrick...Lobo Tiggre...Jennifer Shaigec...Mary Anne & Pam Aden...Dana Samuelson...Bill Murphy...David Morgan...Gary Alexander...Jeff Deist...Byron King…Albert Lu...Omar Ayales...Gerardo Del Real...Rich Checkan...Thom Calandra...and more, including yours truly.

 

Plus, we’ll have a scintillating geopolitical panel — featuring popular political pundits Mary Katharine Ham, Charles C.W. Cooke and Scott McKay — to give us up-to-the-minute post-election analyses.

Historic Risks And Historic Opportunities

There is great uncertainty ahead in the economy and the investment markets, there are some things that we can rely on.

One is that current levels of debt cannot be managed without significant depreciation of the dollar and other fiat currencies...a fact that will send some investments to the trash bin and others skyward.
 

The other is that the experts listed above can help guide us to safety and profits through these tumultuous markets.

I urge you to sign up for the Collective Inner Circle Election Townhall, and to click on the link below to learn more about this year’s New Orleans Conference and guarantee your place.

All the best,

Brien Lundin Signature

Brien Lundin
Publisher, Gold Newsletter
CEO, the New Orleans Investment Conference

 

CLICK HERE

To Learn More
And Claim Your Place At
The 50th Anniversary
New Orleans Investment Conference

 

NOIC 2024 Speaker Banner

CLICK HERE to watch interviews by Brien Lundin and Kai Hoffmann with many of today's most exciting junior mining companies on the

Gold Newsletter Youtube channel.

 
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GNL Admin2024-11-06T20:38:40+00:00November 6th, 2024|

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